CVCX Online Calculators - Goal

Probability of Reaching Goal Given a Time Constraint

This formula is found on Blackjack Attack page 136. Here you specify the maximum number of hands you will play, a bankroll and a goal. The result is the probability of reaching that goal before going bankrupt or hitting the specified number of hands
  End Result in Units/Goal
  Bankroll in Units
  Win rate per 100 hands
  Std. Dev. per 100 hands
  Hands Played

Definitions

  • End Result/Goal in units: This is the number of units that you wish to finish with including the bankroll that you started with.
  • Bankroll in units: The number of units that you start with.
  • Win rate per 100 hands: The units that you win over 100 hands. You can get this from the CVCX Online Main Viewer.
  • Std. Dev. per 100 hands: You can get this from the CVCX Online Main Viewer.
  • Hands: Total number of hands played. Does not include skipped hands.
  • Probability of reaching goal: The percentage of times that you will reach the specified goal at any time under the requested conditions.
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